The study defines an imminent armed attack as "an attack that is about to happen, or is so imminent that there is insufficient time for the target to take evasive action." It notes that there are a number of potential indicators of an imminent attack, including:
* Increased military activity by the potential aggressor
* The movement of troops or equipment towards the target
* The issuance of threats or warnings by the potential aggressor
* The activation of air defense systems or other military assets
The study argues that the UK and its allies need to develop clear and unambiguous policies on how they will respond to imminent armed attacks. These policies should include:
* The criteria that will be used to determine whether an attack is imminent
* The level of military force that will be used in response to an imminent attack
* The chain of command for authorizing and executing a military response
The study also recommends that the UK and its allies conduct regular exercises to practice responding to imminent armed attacks. These exercises should involve all relevant military and civilian agencies, and they should test the ability of these agencies to work together effectively in a crisis.
The study concludes that clarifying how the UK and its allies will respond militarily to imminent armed attacks is essential for deterring such attacks and for ensuring an effective response if an attack does occur.
The RUSI study makes a number of recommendations for how the UK and its allies can clarify their policies on responding to imminent armed attacks. These recommendations include:
* Developing a clear and unambiguous definition of an imminent armed attack
* Establishing a clear chain of command for authorizing and executing a military response to an imminent attack
* Conducting regular exercises to practice responding to imminent armed attacks
* Sharing information with allies about the indicators of an imminent attack and the UK's and allies' plans for responding to such an attack
* Engaging in dialogue with potential adversaries to deter them from launching imminent attacks
The study argues that these recommendations will help to ensure that the UK and its allies are prepared to respond effectively to imminent armed attacks and that such attacks are deterred.