Abstract:
For decades, the Atlantic hurricane season has been a significant natural hazard affecting coastal communities across the region. However, recent observations suggest a potential shift in the characteristics of Atlantic hurricanes, particularly a decline in their frequency and intensity. This study aims to investigate this trend and explore the possible factors contributing to it. Using comprehensive datasets of past hurricane seasons and advanced statistical analyses, we examine the long-term variations in hurricane activity and assess the robustness of the observed trends. Furthermore, we investigate potential linkages between large-scale climatic phenomena, such as changes in sea surface temperatures, atmospheric circulation patterns, and aerosol emissions, with the observed shifts in hurricane characteristics. By combining observational analysis and modeling techniques, this study seeks to gain insights into the changing nature of Atlantic hurricanes and contribute to improved hurricane risk assessment and preparedness strategies.